For the past day and a half I’ve been thinking about the future of publishing in general and books in particular. I attended a book publishing conference where I met with and listened to a great many very smart people. I don’t know if I had an epiphany per se, but I think I got a glimmer of insight.
There was a common theme running through much of the meeting: plain old pulp and ink books will always be around but they are quickly becoming artifacts of a bygone era. They aren’t just losing market share to eBooks–they’re losing market share to everything: blogs, tweets, webinars, YouTube, iTunes et al.
At the end of the day, say the experts, content rules…but all bets are off about the form it will take.
One “strategy” (like most industries and professions, almost everybody has a thorough analysis of the problem but an incomplete solution): the book becomes the proverbial kitchen sink. Throw in everything! Include a website, urls, blogs, audio, workbooks, webinars, training programs…the list is limited only by the imagination. But since we’re not sure how much if anything people will pay for these enhancements, just figure out how to do it all for the same price or less.
So here’s my question: who has time for the kitchen sink? Another speaker on the same program shared that the average American household has the television on 8 hours and 18 minutes a day. He also said that 40% of each work day is consumed answering email. Doesn’t that beg the question: who has time to read a book much less click on the links, join the online forum, download the audio and sit through the free webinar?
The answer (my guess): some but not many.
The aficionados in any segment are always in the minority. They are not, by definition, “mass market.” Yet it seems the kitchen sink book is a niche strategy ill considered as a mass market approach.
I love to read and undoubtedly am in the highest percentile for book buying yet I rarely have time to read a book much less follow the long path of technological enhancements.
The future of publishing is a matter of time: how much of it people have to spend on books and their technological extensions.
Before we load up our books and publications with extra content and ways to access it, we need to figure out the difference between “enhanced” and “overloaded.” Maybe all those extras will be like the “shrinkware” in the early days of computer software. People bought software with good intentions but never took it out of the shrink-wrap. And if they waited too long, the software inside was outdated anyhow. They now owned version 2.obsolete.
But just as a confused customer buys nothing, might an overloaded reader access nothing? The density of information consumes more time, and the buzz around kitchen sink books suggests that density is increasing while disposable time is decreasing. (And yes, some will shop for content a la cart: they will prefer certain mediums, but not all mediums.)
So maybe the future of most consumer goods–not just books–is a matter of time. The ability to create something so compelling that people will not only pay for it but make time to use and enjoy it is critical. It isn’t about quantity and variety as much as it is about quality and value.
Lesser content gets displaced by superior content, even if it doesn’t come bundled in 27 formats. Compelling books trump enhanced books but an enhanced mediocre books is still mediocre.
But what of the noise? Thanks to the internet, everybody and anybody is a potential publisher. That is a topic for a different day…
As someone who enjoys reading, I have found that I still gravitate towards physical copies of books. I own a Kindle and have downloaded around 30 books (most of the free classics) but as much I as enjoy my Kindle, I find myself viewing the physical book and telling myself to read it. It is as if seeing the book cover encourages me to read.
While e-books are nice and a big space saver, I wonder if the new digital age will not slow down the number of books purchased but will slow down the number of works read.
If you asked me right now the names of the books on my Kindle, I might be able to name a dozen or so. Yet if you asked me about a particular title of a physical book (I estimate that I own close to 1,000 titles), I could almost guarantee that I would know if I own it or not. It is a “out of sight, out of mind” mentality. I do not see the digital book so I cannot remember if I own or have read it.
Thus, the publishing world may be changing, but do the changes still spur many to greatness?
Agreed Mark. Great insights. But I think you can bust through the noise with a good channel strategy. I believe authors need to start creating categories or channels that can appeal to a broader market that is on the move.
Dear Sir,
Thank you for this lovely post.
Apart from being an avid reader, I am also a quiz buff. And last August, at a prestigious quiz event, we were shown this interesting video on books. May I please share it here?
It is titled: ‘The Future of Publishing’ and was prepared by the UK branch of Dorling Kindersley Books :
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Weq_sHxghcg
We have to read the message, then read it again in reverse and see what happens! (something akin to a palindrome but with a dramatic change in meaning?)
Another similar video is “Lost Generation” by Jonathan Reed :
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=K6msKrqmN3w&feature=related
Thanks and regards,
Geetha
Mark, thank you for sharing this thought-provoking message that applies not only to reading materials but to most aspects of life, past, present and future. As a conscious act to reduce how much space I heat and cool (including my brain!), I donated much of my library to public institutions for others to enjoy – not the volumes I am likely to refer to or re-read very often, but the others so dearly accumulated. The necessary pre-donation “re-visits”, including reading note review, catalyzed a decade’s worth of new thoughts and connections!
I still haven’t solved the paper/electronic dilemma, but I am now more discerning of worth before I buy.
Thanks again.